12
MAY
2016

NHL May 12th

Predators +158: The Sharks are the better team here, and they should win this game. That said there’s always a number where the dog is enticing enough to get in there. That +158 line implies less than a 40% of a Preds victory tonight and I just don’t see it that way....
12
MAY
2016

MLB May 12th

Red Sox -133: Many people will see David Price’s 6.75 ERA and assume he’s just been horrid so far this season. A deeper look however will reveal a ton of bad luck and a 2.97 xFIP that’s actually top 10 in all of baseball. Price is allowing a .373 BABIP and...
11
MAY
2016

NHL May 11th

Blues -110: I’ve said all along in this series that I thought the Blues were the better team. Yes I bet and won with the Stars in Games 4 and 6 but that’s only because I felt those lines were a bit inflated. Tonight at -110 I’m perfectly fine taking the Blues in...
11
MAY
2016

MLB May 11th

Padres +180 (Game 2): It’s not easy to jump in front of the buzzsaw that is the Chicago Cubs right now. At +180 with a guy like Drew Pomeranz seems like as a good a time as any though. Pomeranz is doing some nice damage with his swing and miss stuff this season. He’s...
10
MAY
2016

NHL May 10th

Capitals +110: Went with two dogs to force game 7’s yesterday and gonna go right back to the well and do the same here tonight. The Caps have been the best team in the NHL all year long and I have too much respect for them not to take them at plus money with their season on...
10
MAY
2016

MLB May 10th

Athletics +109: More than anything else this is a play geared around fading the Red Sox against a lefty. On the season the Sox have a 130 wRC+ against right handed pitching, that’s the best mark in baseball. Against lefties however that wRC+ sits at 80 which puts them 24th...
09
MAY
2016

What does “Value” really mean

Often times when I post a money line play on an underdog i’ll get the question “Do you really think that team can win?” The answer is a bit more complicated than a simple yes or no. Lets say for example the Reds are playing in Chicago against the Cubs and the Cubs are a -330...
09
MAY
2016

Bet Numbers Not Teams

I was talking with a buddy of mine a few years back about an NFL game coming up that weekend. I can’t remember the exact matchup but it was something like Oakland at Seattle. We’re talking about the game and we get to the point where he goes “You’ve gotta take Seattle right? The...
09
MAY
2016

NHL May 9th

Predators (-105): Putting my faith in Rinne and Co. that they can get this done at home and force a game 7. This is a Predators team that gets tough when their backs are against the wall. There’s no denying the Sharks absolutely dominated them on Saturday, but I think a...
09
MAY
2016

MLB May 9th

Riding a mini hot streak as we start the new week. Current run of 10-5 (+4.68 Units) in the last 15 plays. That dates back to Friday when I started the site. So far, so good. Will try and keep things going this week.  Mets -104: In Steven Matz’ first start of the season he...