10
MAY
2016

MLB May 10th

Athletics +109: More than anything else this is a play geared around fading the Red Sox against a lefty. On the season the Sox have a 130 wRC+ against right handed pitching, that’s the best mark in baseball. Against lefties however that wRC+ sits at 80 which puts them 24th...
09
MAY
2016

What does “Value” really mean

Often times when I post a money line play on an underdog i’ll get the question “Do you really think that team can win?” The answer is a bit more complicated than a simple yes or no. Lets say for example the Reds are playing in Chicago against the Cubs and the Cubs are a -330...
09
MAY
2016

Bet Numbers Not Teams

I was talking with a buddy of mine a few years back about an NFL game coming up that weekend. I can’t remember the exact matchup but it was something like Oakland at Seattle. We’re talking about the game and we get to the point where he goes “You’ve gotta take Seattle right? The...
09
MAY
2016

NHL May 9th

Predators (-105): Putting my faith in Rinne and Co. that they can get this done at home and force a game 7. This is a Predators team that gets tough when their backs are against the wall. There’s no denying the Sharks absolutely dominated them on Saturday, but I think a...
09
MAY
2016

MLB May 9th

Riding a mini hot streak as we start the new week. Current run of 10-5 (+4.68 Units) in the last 15 plays. That dates back to Friday when I started the site. So far, so good. Will try and keep things going this week.  Mets -104: In Steven Matz’ first start of the season he...
08
MAY
2016

MLB May 8th

Phillies -114: Back in 2014 Aaron Nola was a top 10 pick by the Phillies and so far early in his career he’s showing exactly why. Nola has been carving the league up this season. Right now he’s sporting a 9.9 K/9 ratio to go with only 1.58 BB/9 allowed. Nola has...
07
MAY
2016

MLB May 7th

Rangers -108: Let’s get right to it. Mike Pelfrey is one of the worst pitchers in baseball, the guy is flat out horrid. His K rate is very low, his BB rate is very high, he gives up a ton of hard contact, gives up a ton of HR, etc, etc. He’s horrid. The Rangers will...
07
MAY
2016

NHL May 7th

Blues +100: After hitting the Stars in Game 4 I’m back with the Blues here today. Before this series began I felt the Blues were the better team and I still feel that way now. There isn’t too much to get into X’s and O’s wise here these teams are both very...
06
MAY
2016

MLB May 6th

Marlins -137: I like Vincent Velasquez as much as anyone, i’m a huge fan of his and I think he’s the real deal. This play however isn’t about fading him as much as it is going against a Phillies offense that is just awful against left handed pitching. On the...