29
JUL
2020

MLB 7/29

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Didn’t look good a few days ago but we’re actually slipping into a little daily routine in MLB. Yes some schedule changes and few teams sitting out but in general I give MLB credit for keeping this thing on the tracks and attempting to move it along. Here’s what I’ve got for Wednesday….

Dodgers (-130): Cashed with the Dodgers last night and jumping back in for more in this one. Dustin May might not be a well known name quite yet but he will be soon enough. The 22 year old flame thrower averaged 96.0 MPH on his fastball last year and actually bumped that to 98.0 on average in his season opening start last week. Stuff wise, he’s already elite and a 1.1 WAR in just 39 career innings is very impressive. As a right hander he’ll have a nice shot at keeping that Astros right handed core (Springer, Altuve, Bregman, Correa) under control. From there he hands it off to a bullpen that’s clearly better than what the Astros are left with right now. At the moment the ‘Stros bullpen has 7 guys who had no big league experience coming into this year. They just signed Fernando Rodney yesterday and to call their bullpen beat up right now is a huge understatement. To start the game they’ll go with Cristian Javier who has 1 career inning of work under his belt. He might develop down to the road but at the time being not much is expected from him and with a patchwork bullpen behind him this looks like a nice night for Dodgers bats. I actually make this line -147 so a no brainer play for me.

Tigers (-128): Not often am I going to be laying numbers with the Tigers but will do so here. Matt Boyd had a rough opener in Cincy last week but I’m looking for him to get back on track at home. Well under the radar as a Tiger but Boyd has serious stuff. Last year he put up 238 K’s, for a 11.56 K/9 and just a 2.43 BB/9. At 29 he’s still right in the sweet spot of his career and should continue to improve. Matchup wise he’ll have a much easier test today with KC than what he dealt with in his opener. The Royals counter with Danny Duffy who is frankly just about mediocre across the board. Doesn’t do anything great, doesn’t do anything terrible. He’s clearly a few notches below Boyd and for as bad as the Tigers bullpen is the Royals are one of the few teams they might have an edge over. Not as big as my perceived Dodgers edge but I make the Tigers -141.

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