A few games last night but to me this is the real opening day. Here’s what I’m going with…
Brewers (+112): Happy to back the Brewers as small dogs in this one as I’m really looking for a nice season from Brandon Woodruff. This is a big strong guy who throws mid-high 90’s and is entering the prime of his career. Last year right handers only hit .218 off him and he had a WHIP of under 1. That’ll be nice in keeping the likes of Baez, Bryant, and Contreras under control. Hendricks is still solid but throwing as slow as he does the margin for error is far thinner. Lineups are reasonably close and a clear edge to the Brewers down in the bullpen.
Rangers (-120): This thing has come down a bit from its open and I don’t agree with that move. Lance Lynn was excellent last year. I know that it sort of flew under the radar but this guy had 246 K’s. I don’t know if he’ll be able to reach that level this year but I do think this movement against him is a bit odd. Lineup wise Story and Arenado and he’s very tough on right handed batters. Offensively they could send up to 7 lefty bats out there and they hit Marquez hard. I also give Rangers a clear edge in the bullpen where I rank Rockies as bottom 5.
Rays (-152): The Blue Jays have some nice young talent but just about all of it is right handed. That’s a problem when you’re dealing with Charlie Morton. The Jays figure to have 7 or 8 right handed bats in the lineup and Morton just chews them up. In 2019 he held righties to a .202 avg and K’d over 9 per 9 innings. He’s getting older but with 240 K’s last year he’s actually still improving. He’s set up to have a really nice outing here. Ryu is a nice addition for the Jays but Rays lineup is so balanced. Pretty clearly the best bullpen in baseball too even with the loss of Pagan.