A nice 6-1 night on Thursday and now working on a mini 9-2 heater in my last 11 plays. As always a pretty limited Friday slate to work with but I do think I managed to find some value in a few. No time for full write ups but do have a few quick thoughts on each play…
Illinois (-3): I continue to be impressed by what Illinois is doing. Always been an Underwood fan and he’s been amazing re-creating this team and shifting philosophy a bit. Roster wise they are loaded, athletic as hell, guys know their roles… etc. I haven’t talked about them much this year but a tip of the cap to what they are doing. Even in that road loss over the weekend against Iowa they were about 65% win expectancy with 5 about mins left. Defense has been elite at home in conference play. Terps might not crack 60
Canisius (+7.5): Canisius is nothing nothing special by any stretch but they aren’t as bad as the Marist, Iona, Niagara’s of this conference. Those are the only type of teams Rider should be laying a number like this against. I only make this line 4.5, these teams really not that far apart. Canisius admittedly played over their heads in the win at home over Rider a few weeks ago but even with the expected regression I still see them keeping this one competitive. Johnson did whatever he wanted in that first meeting and he’s going to be an issue again tonight.