MLB 10/8

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A break even Monday going 1-1 with a winner on the Nats and a loser on the Twins. Just one game on the MLB schedule and I’ve got a play on it. Here we go…

Rays (+215): I’ll be the first to say the Astros are the best team in baseball and to me clearly the favorite to win the World Series. That said, this line is about 25-30 cents too high. For as great as Verlander is he’s still on 3 days rest and my guess is only throws about 80-90 pitches. From there it’s an Astros bullpen that doesn’t have many guys who have been throwing well recently. Even if we say Verlander goes 5 very strong innings that still leaves 12 outs for a shaky (at this point) Astros bullpen to get. On the other side it’s a full on bullpen, all hands on deck game for the Rays. Castillo will start it and then pretty much you name it after that. The Rays had the best bullpen in the league in the regular season so if there is a team to back during a bullpen game it might as well be them. I know for many it’s not easy to pull the trigger on a +215 but like I said this is too high, personally I made it +189.

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