15
APR
2017

MLB April 11th

comment : 0

Yesterday: 2-0, +2.00 Units
April: 18-15, +5.63 Units
Season: 18-15, +5.63 Units

33 plays into the season so far and rolling right along at +5.63 units. Just hoping to keep it going as obviously there is a ton of season left. Will say I’m happy with how things are going so far though. Here’s what we have for Tuesday.

ML Parlay Indians/Blue Jays (+117):
A nice situational spot for two teams that are in very similar spots here. The Indians are in my mind not only one of the best teams in the AL but also one of the best teams in baseball. Now off 3 straight losses in Arizona and a day off to regroup they now get their home opener. They are -230 favorites for good reason as they are clearly the better team and with Carlos Carrasco against James Shields they have a huge edge in starting pitcher. The Indians are back at home, coming off a day off, and knowing they need a win. I think they take care of business. The other half of the parlay will be the Blue Jays and you could pretty much say exactly the same things for them as Cleveland. Good team, coming off 3 straight road losses, get a day off, now finally get their home opener. Pitching wise they’ve have veteran and 2016 20 game winner JA Happ on the mound. Happ might not have the best stuff on the Jays staff but you could argue he’s their most reliable all around pitcher. Simply enough I expect Happ and Carrasco to cash in wins for good teams that know they need to get back in the win column.

Rangers (+102): They say control is usually the last thing to come back for a pitcher after Tommy John surgery, and that’s proving to be true for Tyler Skaggs. Skaggs had a very high 4.17 BB/9 last year in 49.2 IP and sure enough in his first start this year he was back at it with 3 BB’s in just 5.1 IP. His velocity was also down in the low 90’s sitting at 91.2 on the fastball. As far as his other stuff goes his change up is mediocre, his curve is mediocre, and overall stuff wise he’s far from anything special. Opposing him will be the reliable veteran lefty Cole Hamels. I backed Hamels in his start last week and lost that game when Sam Dyson fell apart in the 9th against the Indians. All of what I said about Hamels in that write up still applies here. If you are a new member just know that the meat and potatoes of it is good fastball, (even with age not losing velocity) great change up, good command, overall just still a damn good pitcher. I do think the Rangers for the most part are garbage but it’s starting to look like Hamels is a pitcher I’ll be on quite a bit this year. At the end of the day I can’t pass on him at plus money against a pitcher as mediocre as Skaggs.

These two are going to be it. Not crazy about the slate of games out there today and there’s no need to start forcing plays and giving back hard earned profit.

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