NFL January 22nd

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Season: 38-38-2, (50.00%) -3.8 Units

Won’t have any plays in the AFC game but essentially that serves as a Steelers play as I have futures on them at +420 to win the AFC and +900 to win the super bowl. I’m not going to hedge there as I really think they’ll be in this game until the very end. That brings us to the NFC where I do have a play…

Packers (+6): I faded Atlanta last week and it didn’t work out, but I’ll try it again here. I know the Falcons offense is great and there’s no point in denying it. Matt Ryan is likely your MVP. Julio Jones might be the best WR in the league, and Freeman/Coleman are probably the best RB duo in the league. They’ll get their points. All that said I just can’t get past the fact that Aaron Rodgers is the best player on the planet right now. I should have done this last week, but now the state of mind is simply give me 6 points with Rodgers and I’ll take my chances. I think this Falcons defense (especially secondary) can be picked on and that Rodgers is just the guy to do it. In addition to that and maybe I’m being unfair in doing this, but I question Matt Ryan in a game this big. He’s never won a game this big in his career whereas Rodgers has won plenty of games this big and bigger. If this game is close in the 4th quarter which I expect it to be, which guy would you trust more? Ryan is the MVP as far as this year goes, but I’ll hitch my ride to Rodgers.

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