16
NOV
2016

NCAAB November 16th

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NCAAB Yesterday: 4-0, (100.00%) +4.0 Units 
NCAAB Season: 7-4, (63.64%) +2.6 Units 

A nice clean sweep last night going 4-0 to put myself into the black for the season. I’ve mentioned a few times how until about Christmas or so I’m going to keep my volume pretty low. I know there are guys out there with 40, 50, even 60 plays so far this season… and here I am with 11. Everyone has their own style, and for now I’m perfectly fine moving slowly. Here we go…

UC Irvine (+16): Going to take a shot with a bunch of points in a low tempo game against a team that could be looking ahead a bit. California should be a solid team this year, but I’m not crazy about them in this spot. On Monday they’ve got a neutral site game with SDSU that frankly is bigger than the game they play tonight. It also works in the favor of a 16 point dog when you have a game that probably only goes 70 possessions or so. Less possessions simply give the favorite less of a chance to build up a fat lead. UC Irvine has won 93 games in the last 4 years an average of about 23 per season. This isn’t a team that’s going to be scared or intimated by playing on the road against a PAC-12 team. I’m certainly not going to act like the talent is even, but there’s enough here for me to easily justify a play on Irvine taking the 16.

That’s it for tonight. Not crazy about what’s out there, so just playing this one.

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